Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America's largest rivers
dc.contributor.author | Petry, Ingrid | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Fan, Fernando Mainardi | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Siqueira, Vinícius Alencar | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Collischonn, Walter | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Paiva, Rodrigo Cauduro Dias de | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Quedi, Erik Schmitt | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Gama, Cléber Henrique Araújo | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Silveira, Reinaldo Bomfim da | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Freitas, Camila | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Paranhos, Cassia Silmara Aver | pt_BR |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-04-18T05:36:54Z | pt_BR |
dc.date.issued | 2023 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.issn | 2214-5818 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10183/274921 | pt_BR |
dc.description.abstract | Study region: South America large basins (>5000 km²). Study focus: This work represents a first assessment of seasonal streamflow forecasts in South America based on a continental-scale application of a large scale hydrologic-hydrodynamic model and ECMWF's seasonal forecasting system precipitation forecasts (SEAS5-SSF) with bias correction. Seasonal streamflow forecasts were evaluated against a reference model run. Forecast skill was estimated relative to the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) method. New hydrological insights: We observed that bias correction was essential to obtain positive skill of SEAS5-SSF over ESP, which remained a hard to beat benchmark, especially in regions with high seasonality, and highly dependent on initial conditions. SEAS5-SSF skill was found to be dependent on initialization month, basin and lead time. Rivers where the skill is higher were Amazon, Araguaia, Tocantins and Paraná. | en |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | pt_BR |
dc.language.iso | eng | pt_BR |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of Hydrology : Regional Studies. Amsterdam. Vol. 49 (Oct. 2023), [Article] 101487, 22 p. | pt_BR |
dc.rights | Open Access | en |
dc.subject | Precipitação | pt_BR |
dc.subject | Seasonal streamflow forecast Bias correction South America | en |
dc.subject | Modelos hidrológicos | pt_BR |
dc.subject | Previsao de cheias | pt_BR |
dc.subject | Previsão de vazões | pt_BR |
dc.subject | Previsão hidrológica | pt_BR |
dc.title | Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America's largest rivers | pt_BR |
dc.type | Artigo de periódico | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.nrb | 001199905 | pt_BR |
dc.type.origin | Estrangeiro | pt_BR |
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